cryptocurrency and central banks- Top Top stories

Market News: South Korean President Yin Xiyue may release a recorded public speech.Musk is worth $447 billion, nearly $200 billion behind Bezos. Tesla shares rose 5.9% on Wednesday to close at $424.77, a record high, surpassing the previous record of $409.97 set on November 4, 2021. According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Musk's worth soared by $62.8 billion overnight to $447 billion, making him the first super-rich man on earth with a net worth of over $400 billion. Musk's current net worth is nearly $200 billion higher than that of the second-ranked Jeff Bezos, who is worth about $249 billion.CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".

Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.On the evening of December 10th, Sunac announced that two bonds, H6 Rongdi 01 and H0 Sunac 03, had taken the lead in voting on restructuring, and the other eight bonds still had two weeks to vote, and the voting results of the overall restructuring of 10 bonds would finally be ushered in on December 23rd. On November 27th, Sunac announced the second restructuring plan for domestic bonds, involving four restructuring options and a total of 10 bonds. Some analysts said that although the final result has not yet been settled, two bonds successfully passed the restructuring vote in a short period of time, indicating that some investors still have confidence in Sunac. Liu Shui, director of enterprise research at the China Central Finger Research Institute, told reporters that the recent stabilization of the real estate market and the improvement of creditors' confidence will be beneficial to the debt restructuring of real estate enterprises in danger. (21 Finance)CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.

Citic Jiantou: We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025, focusing on the opportunities of new increase and industry integration. Citic Jiantou Securities reported on December 11th that looking forward to 2025, the reform policy in the pharmaceutical field has been normalized, and the most noteworthy incremental policy in the medical insurance field is to establish a diversified payment system. The medical field is about to usher in the reform of "deep water areas" such as salary system and graded diagnosis and treatment, which is in line with expectations on the whole. At the same time, the innovation of China's pharmaceutical industry has gradually stepped onto the international stage, some sub-sectors will be marginally improved, and industry integration will begin. We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025. It is suggested to focus on the new increase (innovation, going out to sea, marginal change) and industry integration opportunities.18 shares were rated by brokers, and Yuhetian's target increased by 54.72%. On December 11th, a total of 18 shares were rated by brokers, and 6 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Yuhetian, Steady Medical Care and Fulongma ranked in the top, with increases of 54.72%, 19.96% and 17.62% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 12 stocks remain unchanged and 6 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, one stock attracted the attention of many brokers, and Hagrid Communications was ranked in the top number, with two brokers rating it respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the rated stocks are bought, the number of rated stocks for technical hardware and equipment, capital goods and materials II is the largest, with 4, 3 and 2 respectively.Huajin Securities: Concerned about the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea, Huajin Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 11th, the 2024 China E-sports Industry Annual Conference was held in Beijing, and the 2024 E-sports Annual Report was released during the conference. The data showed that the e-sports industry showed a positive development trend. "High-quality IP+ games" resonance mode or long-term empowerment game industry development. 2) The popularity of Marvel Comics is unprecedented, and the head manufacturers inject new IP vitality into the game. The achievements of "Marvel Comics Strive for the Front" may set a benchmark for the market, open the world fun competition+high-quality IP or give birth to new topics. 3) "Adapting to local conditions" is both internal and external, and the IP effect is remarkable. Based on the model of Watching Pioneer 2, the "big IP+ competition" has been deeply cultivated. The globalization has brought unprecedented popularity to Marvel Comics, and its novel model is expected to give full play to the value of high-quality IP, provide guidance and reference for industrial development, and empower the development of the game industry for a long time. 4) The annual meeting of e-sports industry was held, and the data showed that China e-sports was full of vitality. High-quality IP+ games are expected to continue to inject vitality into the game industry, paying attention to the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea.